Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #23
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 19th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.0%
Advance to State Finals 90.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Taylor University Invitational Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 396 472 485 418 413 595 457 453 408 403
Team Adjusted Rating 472 485 418 413 489 457 453 408 403
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Taylor University Invitational Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
101  Will Schlegel 10 16:35 16:57 16:45 16:49 16:50 16:37 17:15 16:55 16:44 16:28
140  Vaughn Hendrickson 11 16:49 17:10 17:04 16:58 16:46 16:58 16:57 16:33 16:47 16:40 16:49
185  Nick Spielman 11 16:59 18:04 17:23 17:25 17:12 17:20 17:36 17:27 17:19 17:23 16:52
257  Ben Bentz 11 17:11 16:56 17:00 17:15 17:07 17:02 17:26 17:06 17:14 17:02 17:56
309  Hunter Panning 9 17:18 17:42 17:39 17:18 17:11 17:29 17:19 17:23 17:13 17:11
473  Kevin Zehr 12 17:41 17:18 17:52 17:38 17:20 17:50 17:52 17:38 17:35
700  Max Adair 11 18:03 18:37 17:59 18:12 18:35 18:15 17:59 18:01 17:45 18:09 18:03
703  Cillian Hoover 10 18:03 17:55 18:22 17:55 17:44 17:51 18:31
1,387  Morgan Miller 11 18:59 19:11 18:57 19:13 18:40 18:57
Jack Habegger 10 19:10 19:21 18:55 19:15 18:55 19:26
Alex Jones 11 19:55 18:52 19:55 19:10 20:11 19:48 20:59 19:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 90.2% 18.1 454 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.5 4.7 6.3 8.1 9.2 10.7 11.3 9.5 8.3 6.4 4.6 3.1
Semi-State 100% 5.0 180 0.2 2.6 11.8 19.8 26.5 29.3 6.1 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 59 95.4 3.9 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 44 95.6 4.0 0.3 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Schlegel 90.5% 90.7 3.7% 40.0%
Vaughn Hendrickson 90.2% 112.1 0.0% 8.4%
Nick Spielman 90.2% 129.1 0.0% 1.2%
Ben Bentz 90.2% 150.0 0.0% 0.1%
Hunter Panning 90.2% 160.2 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Zehr 90.2% 183.6 0.0% 0.0%
Max Adair 90.2% 197.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Schlegel 100% 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.6 5.1 4.8 5.1 4.6 4.2 4.6 4.4 99.8%
Vaughn Hendrickson 100% 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.3 96.1%
Nick Spielman 100% 45.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 83.5%
Ben Bentz 100% 64.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 49.8%
Hunter Panning 100% 75.1 0.0 30.3%
Kevin Zehr 100% 105.5 1.2%
Max Adair 100% 132.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Schlegel 100% 4.5 5.8 18.9 17.3 15.4 12.5 9.9 6.6 5.3 3.3 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Vaughn Hendrickson 100% 8.8 0.3 1.4 3.9 6.2 8.3 10.6 10.5 10.7 10.2 8.7 7.5 6.1 4.7 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nick Spielman 100% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.1 5.8 7.2 8.2 9.5 8.8 8.9 8.0 7.1 5.7 4.9 4.1 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.8 100.0%
Ben Bentz 100% 19.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.9 4.5 5.6 6.4 6.6 7.1 7.3 6.9 6.3 5.8 5.3 5.1 3.8 100.0%
Hunter Panning 100% 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.1 4.2 4.7 5.1 6.2 5.9 6.7 6.2 5.6 6.1 100.0%
Kevin Zehr 100% 38.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 99.9%
Max Adair 100% 55.2 0.0 0.0 90.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Schlegel 2.5 6.5 28.3 28.8 18.3 9.9 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Vaughn Hendrickson 5.1 0.2 2.3 9.3 16.6 18.9 18.1 14.1 9.8 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Nick Spielman 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 7.3 11.3 15.1 16.7 15.5 11.3 7.0 4.3 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ben Bentz 11.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.1 9.7 12.7 13.7 11.5 9.4 8.5 6.4 5.4 4.1 2.8 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hunter Panning 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.8 6.2 9.2 10.4 10.6 10.7 9.4 8.2 7.6 6.4 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.2
Kevin Zehr 22.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.9 3.5 5.0 5.5 7.4 8.4 8.9 8.4 8.3 6.7
Max Adair 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.5